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???????????????????????15 ?????90. ??????????????????????????????????????.
Untitled
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??????????????. ???????????????????????????????????. ???????????ECEQ????????????????? 
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???(1999) ???????????????????????????? ?1984?????1997????, ????????????????????. ??, ???? 
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???????(2002)???????????????????????????????????????????. ????????????????????91 ?10 
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71????77?:???,??74?:???,??74?,??89?)?????. ????(????)?????????,??????????,???????. ?????:? 
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?????????????????????????????. ???????????????????????????, ?. ?????????, ??????? 
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???(1996)?????????????????????????????58-97? ???(2003)????????????????????????????????? 
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???(1986b) ???????????????????????. Hendry et al. (1984) ????????(???????????(Error. Correction Model)) ???